2014 - Escalation Data
| Event | Nature of the Event | Gravity | Cause of the Escalation | Source | |
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Pakistan Rangers kill one BSF soldier on the IB in Samba; BSF retaliates and kills 4 Pak Rangers. | CFV | Moderate | CFV | http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/indian-soldier-killed-in-pakistan-ceasefire-violation-bsf-kills-4-in-retaliatory-fire-720765 |
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Pakistan strongly reacted on Saturday to Indian Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar's ‘provocative’ statement saying the country was fully capable to defend itself and thwart any aggression. | Adverse Political Statement/ Official Statement | Moderate | Political rhetoric | http://www.dawn.com/news/1150648 |
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India warns Pakistan of a "strong response" for its policy of aiding and abetting cross-border terrorism, a week after four synchronized militant strikes killed 11 security personnel and two civilians in Jammu & Kashmir. Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar | Adverse Political Statement/ Official Statement | Moderate | Terrorism | http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Strong-action-against-Pakistan-in-6-months-Parrikar/articleshow/45500932.cms |
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PM Modi and PM Sharif meet briefly at SAARC Summit in Kathmandu, Nepal. | Politico-diplomatic engagement | Positive | No Escalation | http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Modi-Sharif-handshake-salvages-Saarc-summit/articleshow/45296970.cms |
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Pakistan Taliban issues direct threat to Indian PM Modi (Twitter) - vows revenge against PM Modi | Terrorism | Moderate | Terrorism | http://www.firstpost.com/world/after-wagah-pakistan-taliban-issues-direct-threat-to-indian-pm-modi-1788403.html and http://www.firstpost.com/world/after-wagah-pakistan-taliban-issues-direct-threat-to-indian-pm-modi-1788403.html |
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Suicide bombing at Wagah border kills atleast 55 and injures over 200 persons. | Terrorism | Moderate | Terrorism | http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-27583677 and http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-others/at-least-55-killed-200-injured-in-bomb-blast-at-wagah-border-in-pakistan/ |
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In a letter to United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon on Saturday, Sartaj Aziz, the Pakistani Prime Minister’s advisor on national security, accuses India of “deliberate and unprovoked” firing that killed 12 people in Pakistan. Aziz also see | Adverse Political Statement | Minor | CFV | http://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/2014/10/13/india-pakistan-border-firing-tapers-off-but-diplomatic-tempers-continue-to-flare/ |
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Indian MEA spokesperson Syed Akbaruddin says "It is for Pakistan to end its adventurism ... de-escalation is entirely in Pakistan's hands". He warns Pakistan with "appropriate response" from India for whatever it chose to do. | Adverse Political Statement | Moderate | CFV | http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Border-tension-Onus-on-Pakistan-to-de-escalate-India-says/articleshow/44779226.cms |
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BSF sources tell NDTV that there are no plans as yet of holding any flag meeting with Pakistan. "There are no plans of a flag-meet as yet. It's too early to talk of de-escalation". | Politico-military disengagement | Minor | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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Union Minister of State for Home Kiren Rijiju met with NSA Ajit Doval and the Director General of BSF DK Pathak to discuss the prevailing situation along the LoC and the International Border with Pakistan. | High level Meeting | Moderate | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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At a meeting of the National Security Committee, to discuss the ceasefire violations along the Line of Control, Pakistan PM Nawaz Sharif says "Pakistan's desire for peace should not be considered (by India) as its weakness." | High Level Meeting / Adverse Political Statement | Moderate | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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Pakistan hints at nuclear weapons: Pakistan Defence Minister Khawaja Asif says: "Pakistan has the ability to reply to Indian aggression. We do not want the situation on the borders of two nuclear neighbours to escalate into confrontation". the Federal Min | Adverse Political Statement/ Nuclear Signalling | Moderate | CFV | http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pakistan-issues-nuclear-warning-to-india/1/395009.html |
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India warns Pakistan as tension escalates on the LOC. Taking a tough line of ceasefire violations, India's Defence Minister says at a press conference: “Pakistan in this case has clearly been the aggressor. But it must realise that our deterrence will b | Adverse Political Statement/ Nuclear Signalling | Moderate | CFV | http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/jaitley-warns-pakistan-modi-praises-troops-as-ceasefire-violations-continues/ and http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/indias-stern-warning-to-pak-over-border-firing-our-forces-will-make-cost-of-your-adventurism-at-loc-unaffordable/ and http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/Modi-Jaitley-warn-Pakistan/article11063615.ece |
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District Officials from Jammu, Samba and Kathua indicate that nearly 30,000 people have been displaced from 113 border villages along the 192-km long International Border following one of the worst violations of the 2003 ceasefire by Pakistan which left | Domestic Turmoil | Moderate | CFV | http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/residents-of-113-border-hamlets-flee-fearing-pakistan-firing/ |
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NDTV reports that India warned Pakistan that it is not afraid of escalation after relentless firing and shelling from across the border this week, in which eight civilians have been killed and around 50 injured. Top government sources say that Indian for | Adverse Political Statement/ Diplomatic Disengagement | Moderate | CFV | http://www.ndtv.com/cheat-sheet/india-warns-pakistan-its-not-afraid-of-escalating-fire-sources-676560 |
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India hits back at Pakistan; targets 37 Pakistani border posts, resulting in around 15 deaths, more than 30 injured and serious damage to outposts manned by the Pakistani Rangers, acc to intelligence sources. | Military escalation | Moderate | CFV | http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/india-hits-back-with-vengeance-strikes-37-pak-posts-15-killed/story-S4PLQ239GbtwupXfia1hSJ.html |
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The BJP leader, Amit Shah says that Pakistan is begging for a flag meeting, but India has said that no flag meeting unless firing stops. Bilawal Bhutto tweets: Another attack on LOC. seems India adopting Israle model vs Pakistan.Modi must realize we c | Adverse Political Statement | Minor | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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The J&K chief minister called UNMOGIP a 'toothless organisation', and said that it has never been able to stop any violence. "If Pakistan wants a suitable situation then it can only happen if the guns go silent". | Adverse Political Statement | Minor | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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Pakistan envoy in UN has called upon the Indian government to observe the ceasefire along the Line of Control. | Summoning of Envoy | Moderate | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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The MHA reportedly calls for a high level meet as violence along the LoC showed every sign of escalating. The home secretary, IB chief, BSF representatives and Border Management representatives reportedly due to attend. | High Level Meeting | Moderate | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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An NDTV reports an Indian Government official informing that the Indian forces have been asked to retaliate heavily to firing from Pakistan and reject talks until all firing stops at the border in Jammu and Kashmir. | Military escalation | Moderate | CFV | http://www.firstpost.com/india/loc-tension-live-even-as-firing-continues-nobel-peace-goes-to-indian-and-pakistani-1746971.html |
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External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj says Pakistan "spoilt the talks" by talking to Hurriyat leaders just ahead of Foreign Secretaries of the two nations were scheduled to meet in Islamabad last month. | Adverse Political Statement | Moderate | Political rhetoric | http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pakistan-spoilt-talks-by-meeting-hurriyat-leaders-sushma-swaraj-671100 |
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Reuters reports that Indian and Pakistani troops intensified firing across the border | CFV | Moderate | CFV | http://in.reuters.com/article/india-pakistan-border-firing-idINKBN0GO0K220140824 |
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Indian newspaper DNA reports that 'Tension has escalated on the International Border with no let up in the ceasefire violations from Pakistani Rangers. The escalation has prompted the Jammu and Kashmir government to evacuate 8,000 residents from at least | CFV | Moderate | CFV | http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report-tension-escalates-on-india-pakistan-border-8000-people-shift-to-safer-locations-2013318 |
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Pakistani Troops Target 25 BSF Posts in J&K (Arnia, RS Pura, Akhnoor). Indian Army Retaliates. Defence Minister Arun Jaitley says that the Indian Army would respond to the ceasefire violations, "Our army is prepared to respond to each violation. The coun | CFV/ Adverse Political Statement | Moderate | CFV | http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pakistani-troops-target-25-bsf-posts-in-j-k-indian-army-retaliates-652735 |
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India today called off foreign secretary level talks with Pakistan with just a week to go, sending out a "clear and unambiguous message" that its envoy's engagement with Kashmiri separatist leaders was unacceptable. | Diplomatic Disengagement | Moderate | Kashmir/ Political Rhetoric/ Other | http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-calls-off-talks-with-pakistan-over-its-envoy-meeting-kashmiri-separatists-650033 and http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-calls-off-foreign-secretarylevel-talks-with-pakistan/article6329082.ece |
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The Pakistani envoy invites leaders of all factions of the All Party Hurriyat Conference for consultations ahead of a crucial meeting of the Foreign Secretaries of the two nations in Islamabad on August 25. The provocation comes amid a spurt in violation | Adverse Political Statement/ Official Statement | Moderate | Kashmir | http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/pak-envoy-abdul-basit-calls-hurriyat-for-talks-nawaz-sharif-modi/1/377533.html |
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India summons the Pakistani Deputy High Commissioner and seeks the immediate release of a BSF trooper captured by Pakistani forces after being swept across the border in Jammu and Kashmir by the Chenab river. | Summoning of Envoy | Minor | No Escalation | http://www.dailymail.co.uk/indiahome/indianews/article-2719322/India-calls-immediate-release-BSF-trooper-captured-Pakistani-forces-J-K-border.html#ixzz4V3xIuAvs |
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Prime Minister Modi holds one-on-one bilateral talks with Pak PM Sharif on the first day after being sworn-in as the new Indian Prime Minister. Modi press Sharif for action against terrorists and militants | Politico-diplomatic engagement | Positive | No Escalation | http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-27583677 |
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BJP leader Narendra Modi sworn in as the new Indian Prime Minister. Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif is invited with other SAARC leaders for the ceremony. | Politico-diplomatic engagement | Positive | No Escalation | http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/indias-new-pm-narendra-modi-to-meet-with-pakistani-premier-nawaz-sharif-after-being-sworn-in-9436226.html |