September 25, 2018

Escalation

 

 

2015 - Escalation Data

Date Event Nature of the Event Gravity Cause of the Escalation Source
25 December 2015 Indian PM Modi makes an unscheduled visit to Lahore, Pakistan and meets Pak PM Sharif on his birthday. Modi was on his way back from Afghanistan. Talks with India will be taken forward: Pak foreign secretary says. Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/pm-modi-lands-in-lahore-on-a-surprise-visit-meets-pak-pm-nawaz-sharif/ and http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/narendra-modi-pakista-visit-lahore-nawaz-sharif-today/
9 December 2015 Indian EAM Sushma Swaraj announces India and Pakistan are resuming bilateral dialogue. Both sides agreed to a Comprehensive Bilateral Dialogue Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/foreign-minister-sushma-swaraj-sartaj-aziz-issue-joint-statement-full-text-1253040
8 December 2015 Indian EAM Sushma Swaraj attends Heart of Asia conference in Islamabad. Meets Pak foreign policy advisor Aziz. Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/foreign-minister-sushma-swaraj-sartaj-aziz-issue-joint-statement-full-text-1253040
6 December 2015 national security advisors Doval and Janjua hold a meeting away from the public gaze in Bangkok Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/national-security-advisers-of-india-and-pakistan-meeting-in-bangkok/article7955001.ece
30 November 2015 PM Modi and PM Sharif meet in Paris along the sidelines of the Climate change conference Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/indo-pak-nsas-meet-in-bangkok-discuss-terrorism-jk/
24 November 2015 At a High level meeting to review LOC situation, PM Nawaz Sharif says that Pakistan won’t tolerate targeting of civilians by India. Pakistan reportedly says three of its soldiers were killed in Indian firing along the Line of Control, while nine civilia High Level Meeting/ Adverse Political Statement Minor No Escalation http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/pakistan-wont-tolerate-targeting-of-civilians-by-india-nawaz-sharif-4393362/
12 October 2015 India’s defence minister Manohar Parrikar says (at a public interaction in Goa) that Kashmiris should be made aware of the brutal atrocities committed by the Pakistan army on civilians in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK). Adverse Political Statement Minor Kashmir/ No Escalation http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/pakistan-army-brutally-treating-people-in-pok-manohar-parrikar/story-3aBr6KTtbBzAiS9hmtw32L.html
1 October 2015 Sartaj Aziz announces to media representatives in New York: Three dossiers containing proof of Indian involvement in terrorist activities in Pakistan have been handed over to the United Nations, by Permanent Rep Maleeha Lodhi. Diplomatic Posturing Minor No Escalation http://www.dawn.com/news/1210439
30 August 2015 Pakistan's defence minister Khwaja Asif warns India that it will suffer "heavy losses" which it would "remember for decades" if it tries to "impose" a war on his country. Official Statement/ Adverse Political Statement Moderate Kashmir http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/48732332.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
22 August 2015 Indian EAM says: "If they are willing to come, we welcome them but we want an assurance from Pakistan that talks will only be on terror and the NSA will not meet the Hurriyat." Mocking Pakistan NSA Sartaz Aziz's threat to expose I Official Statement/ Adverse Political Statement Moderate Kashmir/ Terrorism http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Straight-talking-Sushma-Swaraj-tears-into-Pakistan/articleshow/48634652.cms and http://www.firstpost.com/world/dump-hurriyat-or-nsa-talks-with-stellar-comeback-sushma-swaraj-puts-pakistan-on-the-spot-2403736.html
22 August 2015 Indian Home Minister Rajnath Singh says "The cancellation of NSA-level talks between India and Pakistan is unfortunate. India is in favour of dialogue". Official Statement Minor No Escalation http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Govt-says-cancellation-of-talks-by-Pakistan-is-unfortunate-separatists-blame-India/articleshow/48641837.cms
22 August 2015 Pakistan calls off NSA-level talks“The scheduled NSA-level talks cannot be held on the basis of the preconditions set by India,” the Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs said in a statement on the night before the actual talks were scheduled. Pakista Diplomatic Disengagement Moderate CFV/ Terrorism http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/south-asia/indiapakistan-national-security-advisorlevel-talks-called-off/article7569679.ece
17 July 2015 Pakistan lodges a complaint against India with the UN military observer group for “ceasefire violations” along the Line of Control (LoC) in Jammu and Kashmir. Claims 4 Pakistani citizens killed in the firing. Diplomatic Posturing Moderate CFV/ Terrorism http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/pakistan-lodges-complaint-against-india-for-ceasefire-violations-along-loc/
17 July 2015 India-Pakistan Visa Row: India and Pakistan accuse each other of not issuing assignment visas to their diplomats and officials. India maintains that Pakistan has not issued visas to its 12 officials including a Naval attache, Pakistan has denied the charg Diplomatic Disengagement Moderate Other http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/after-border-tension-india-and-pakistan-in-visa-row-report-782526
15 July 2015 Indian Army Chief Gen Bikram Singh visits 15th Corps and 16th Corps to review security situation amid growing instances of ceasefire violations. ? Minor CFV http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/army-chief-visits-jammu-and-kashmir-amid-increasing-ceasefire-violations-and-border-disputes/1/291506.html
10 July 2015 Ufa Meeting: The Prime Ministers of Pakistan and India met today on the sidelines of the SCO Summit in Ufa. The two countries agree to resume bilateral dialogue. Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://www.thehindu.com/news/resources/full-text-of-the-joint-statement-by-the-foreign-secretaries-of-india-and-pakistan-in-russia/article7407431.ece
8 July 2015 Provocative statement about nuclear option: At a Geo TV talk show, Pakistan Def minister Asif says that use of nuclear weapons was always an option as they were not kept merely for show but as deterrents. Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://zeenews.india.com/news/india/pakistan-warns-india-says-can-use-nuclear-weapons-if-needed_1626580.html
17 June 2015 Pakistani newspaper Daily Times reports that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s phone call to his Pakistani counterpart Nawaz Sharif has helped reduce tension between the two countries. Diplomatic Engagement Positive No Escalation http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/modis-phone-call-to-pakistan-prime-minister-nawaz-sharif-reduced-india-pakistan-tension-daily/article7329204.ece
15 June 2015 At a book launch event in Islamabad, Pakistan Defence Minister Khawaja Asif says that if forced into war by India, Pakistan will respond in a befitting manner, adding that “our arms are not meant for decoration.” Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://www.dawn.com/news/1188347
11 June 2015 Myanmar operation: Indian Def Min, Parrikar takes a dig at Pakistan Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/myanmar-operation-manohar-parrikar-hits-out-at-pakistan/article7305201.ece
10 June 2015 Sartaj Aziz  tells Pak senate that “We will take all possible steps to expose India’s role in the breakup of East Pakistan in 1971 and its threat to destabilise Pakistan through terrorism”. Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://tribune.com.pk/story/901115/pakistan-to-expose-indias-role-in-breakup-of-east-pakistan-aziz-tells-senate/
9 June 2015 After Indian Army’s Myanmar strike, India's I&B Min of State, Rathore tweets: ‘Message to Pak, #56inchrocks’ Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-others/rajyavardhan-rathore-strikes-too-message-to-pakistan-56inchrocks/
23 May 2015 Expressing concern ---- regard Sartaz Aziz, Adviser to Pakistan Prime Minister on Foreign Affairs says, “This statement only confirms Pakistan’s apprehensions about India’s involvement in terrorism in Pakistan”. Official Statement/ Adverse Political Statement Minor Political Rhetoric http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2015-05-25/news/62624780_1_manohar-parrikar-pakistan-prime-minister-terror-activities
4 January 2015 Amid a war of words between India and Pakistan over cross-border firing, Pakistan's Defence Minister alleges that India wants to keep his country busy in a "low-intensity war". Official Statement/ Adverse Political Statement Moderate CFV http://www.dnaindia.com/india/report-india-wants-to-engage-pakistan-in-low-intensity-war-pakistan-defence-minister-khawaja-asif-2049530
3 January 2015 After three days of continuous ceasefire violation in Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan Def Min Khwaja Asif threatens India with retaliation today, says Pakistan will "communicate in the language they (India) understand". Asif’s remarks came after four Pakist Adverse Political Statement Moderate CFV http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/pakistan-issues-warning-says-will-communicate-in-language-india-understands-722070
1 January 2015 Indian Def Minister is reported to have warned Pakistan that India will retaliate with "double the force" whenever the Pakistani military fires at Indian positions. Adverse Political Statement Minor CFV http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/ceasefire-violations-by-pakistan-loc-jammu-and-kashmir-border-manohar-parrikar-defence-ministry-indian-positions/1/410784.html

 

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